Prediction of 11-year incidence of psychophysically dependent status or death among community-dwelling younger elderlies: from an age-specified community-based cohort study (the NISSIN project)

Table 2 Predictors for dependent status or death for the final prediction model (women)

	Subjects	Outcome^a	(%)	β-coefficient	OR	95% CI
Laboratory testing
Physique
BMI ≥22.6	688	41	(6.0)	−0.81	0.44	0.28–0.70
Systolic blood pressure ≥156 mm Hg	136	23	(16.9)	1.19	3.30	1.88–5.79
Blood test
Hemoglobin ≥14.5 mg/dl	62	11	(17.7)	1.17	3.21	1.50–6.89
ALT ≥35.0 U/ml	82	11	(13.4)	0.77	2.16	1.03–4.52
Questionnaire
Past medical history
Otolaryngological diseases	180	20	(11.1)	0.80	2.23	1.27–3.92
Stroke	34	9	(26.5)	1.57	4.79	1.92–11.94
Cystitis	179	6	(3.4)	−0.89	0.41	0.17–0.98
Family medical history
Hypertension	289	13	(4.5)	−0.68	0.50	0.26–0.96
Life satisfaction index-K ≥4	1069	66	(6.2)	−0.48	0.62	0.39–0.97
Eating full or moderate amount	638	38	(6.0)	−0.43	0.65	0.42–1.02
Alcohol drinker	284	29	(10.2)	0.60	1.82	1.12–2.95
Current smoker	48	10	(20.8)	1.25	3.50	1.56–7.84
Slow gait	196	28	(14.3)	0.97	2.63	1.56–4.45
Night-time awakening ≥3 times	89	15	(16.9)	1.01	2.75	1.45–5.22
Daily sleeping ≥8 h	265	29	(10.9)	0.48	1.62	0.99–2.65
Intercept				−3.16

BMI Body mass index, ALT Alanine transaminase, OR Odds ratio, CI Confidence interval
^aDeath or dependent status of care demand level 2 or more

ISSN: 1347-4715