Table 1 Configuration of the stochastic distribution for invasion

Assumed values

 Frequency of mosquito bites

Poisson

0–3 bites/human/night (depending on Anopheles sinensis density)

–

June–September

 Diagnostic period

Gamma

20 (days)

5² (day²)

15–25 (days)

Estimated values

 Period of sporozoite formation

Gamma

9–17 (days) (depending on temperature)

2² (day²)

7–19

[23]

 Daily survival rate of mosquitoes

Bernoulli

71–87 (%) (depending on season)

–

–

[24]

 Ratio of primary infection

Bernoulli

Primary: 20 (%) (relapse: 80 (%))

–

–

[26]

 Incubation period in primary infection

Gamma

8 (days)

2² (day²)

6–10

[25]

 Relapse pattern of hypnozoites

Bernoulli

Short: 34 (%) (long: 66 (%))

–

–

[18]

 Relapse period (short)

Exponential

52 (days)

52² (day²)

30–120

[18]

 Relapse period (long)

Log-normal

293 (days)

59² (day²)

120–510

[18]

 Rate of gametocyte acquisition per day

Bernoulli

2.8 (%/days)

–

–

[28]

 Loss of infectivity

Gamma

19 (days)

8.3² (day²)

0–40

[27]